Module 16: Postmortems

Why Study Failures

Chapter 1 of 12 · about 3 minutes

1.1 Other people's expensive lessons

Hash had a habit that Mint and Node had noticed through the whole series. Whenever a concept came up, Hash had a story about someone who'd lost money ignoring it.

"Why do you always tell the disaster stories?" Mint asked.

"Because they're the cheapest education there is," said Hash. "Someone else already paid for the lesson. The least we can do is learn it."

In engineering and aviation, a postmortem is a structured review of a failure: what happened, why it happened, what warning signs were visible, and what should change. Crypto has had many failures, some of them among the largest financial collapses of the past decade. This final module studies the most important ones.

1.2 How each case study works

Every chapter follows the same structure:

SectionQuestion
What it wasWhat did the project or company do, and why did people trust it?
What happenedHow did it fail, step by step?
Warning signsWhat was visible beforehand, to people who knew what to look for?
AftermathWhat happened to users, founders, and the industry?
LessonsWhich earlier modules would have helped, and how?

The goal isn't to mock the people who lost money. Many were intelligent, careful people. The goal is to recognise patterns, because crypto failures repeat in recognisable forms.

1.3 The cases in this module

ChapterCaseYearMain failure type
2Mt. Gox2014Exchange custody and security
3The DAO2016Smart contract bug
4ICOs and Ponzi schemes2017 to 2018Fraud and hype
5QuadrigaCX2019Key-person risk and fraud
6Terra and Luna2022Algorithmic stablecoin design
7The 2022 lender collapses2022Opaque leverage and contagion
8FTX2022Misuse of customer funds
9Major hacks, 2022 to 20262022 to 2026Security and operational failures
10The October 2025 liquidation cascade2025Leverage and market structure
11Common patternsAllSynthesis
12Your personal postmortem habitApplying the lessons

1.4 A note on facts and fairness

These chapters describe real events and, in several cases, criminal convictions. They're based on publicly reported information available as of October 2026. Legal proceedings, bankruptcy distributions, and recoveries were ongoing in some cases, so check for updates.

Where people were convicted, the chapters say so. Where matters were disputed or unresolved, the chapters say that too.

1.5 The question to keep asking

As you read each case, ask yourself one question:

"If I'd been there, with everything I've learned in this series, which warning signs would I have noticed, and what would I have done?"

"So it's like a final exam," said Mint.

"A final exam where the answers have already cost other people billions," said Hash. "Pay attention."

1.6 Try it yourself

Before reading the case studies, write down the five warning signs you think are most common in crypto failures, based on everything you've learned. At the end of the module, compare your list with Chapter 11.

Key takeaways from this chapter

  1. A postmortem is a structured review of what failed, why, what warning signs existed, and what should change.
  2. Crypto's failures repeat in recognisable patterns, making them valuable to study.
  3. Each case study covers what it was, what happened, warning signs, aftermath, and lessons.
  4. The cases span exchange failures, smart contract bugs, fraud, stablecoin collapses, lender failures, hacks, and leverage cascades.
  5. The key question for each case: which warning signs would you have noticed, and what would you have done?